On 2nd September 2019, the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) published its final guidance regarding liquidity stress tests of investment funds – applicable to both Alternative Investment Funds (AIFs) and Undertakings for the Collective Investment in Transferable Securities (UCITS).
ESMA also published a stress simulation framework for the investment fund sector on 5th September 2019. The report is intended to help regulators to stimulate stress situations and could be referred to as a source of information on what a regulator might expect from liquidity stress testing (LST). It can also potentially help asset managers to implement their internal LST framework.
The LST Guidelines require fund managers to stress test the assets and liabilities of the funds they manage. This includes redemption requests by investors which are the most common and important source of liquidity risk and can also impact financial stability.
The guidelines require management companies to not prescribe a “one size fits all” solution as this would not be able to take specific fund’s characteristics into account. It sets out the following 16 guidelines applicable to fund managers.
In building its LST model, a manager should determine:
- the risk factors that may impact the fund’s liquidity;
- the types of scenarios to use and their severity;
- different outputs and indicators to be monitored based on the results of the LST;
- the reporting of LST results, outputs and indicators to management; and
- how the results of the LST are used by risk management, portfolio management and by senior management.
A manager should ensure that LST provides information that enables follow-up action.
A manager should have “a strong understanding of the liquidity risks arising from the assets and liabilities of the fund’s balance sheet, and its overall liquidity profile, in order to employ LST that is appropriate for the fund it manages”
The manager should also strike a balance by using LST that is focused, specific to the fund and highlights the key liquidity risk factors but, at the same time, uses a range of scenarios sufficiently wide to adequately represent the diversity of the fund’s risks.
The manager should ensure that LST is properly integrated within the fund’s risk management framework and is subject to appropriate governance and oversight, including appropriate reporting and escalation procedures.
LST should be documented in an LST policy within the UCITS and AIF RMP requiring the manager to periodically review the LST and adapt, if necessary, the LST as appropriate.
The Guidelines set out a list of minimum content requirements for an LST policy. These include:
- a clear definition of the role of senior management in the process
- its internal ownership and which management function(s) is/are responsible for its performance;
- its interaction with other liquidity risk management procedures, including the manager’s contingency plans and the portfolio management function;
- a requirement for regular internal reporting of LST results specifying the frequency and recipients of the report;
- periodic review,
- the circumstances requiring escalation,
- the funds subject to LST;
- initial validation of the LST models and assumptions underpinning them, which should be performed independently from portfolio management
- the types and severity of stress test scenarios used and the reasons for selecting those scenarios;
- the assumptions used relating to data availability for the scenarios, their rationale and how frequently they are revisited
- the frequency at which LST is carried out and the reasons for selecting that frequency; and
- the methods for liquidating assets, including the limitations and assumptions used.
LST should be carried out at least annually and, where appropriate, employed at all stages in a fund’s lifecycle. The guidelines recommend quarterly or more frequent, depending on the fund’s characteristics.
When deciding on the appropriate frequency, managers should take into account the following:
- the liquidity of the fund determined by the manager and any change in the liquidity of assets;
- the frequency should be adapted to the fund rather than a ‘one-size-fits-all’ approach being taken to all funds operated by the manager; and
- the nature of the vehicle (closed versus open ended), the redemption policy and LMTs, such as gates or side pockets, may be additional factors to take into consideration when determining the appropriate frequency of LST.
The frequency should be justified in the LST policy. Factors which may increase the frequency of regulation LST, include:
- Higher unit dealing frequency.
- Increased risks emanating from liabilities, such as a concentrated investor base.
- Complex investment strategy (e.g. extensive use of derivatives).
- Less liquid asset base.
- Forthcoming event which could negatively affect fund liquidity. A highly liquid asset base.
- Less frequent dealing in the fund’s unit.
The Guidelines state that LST should help ensure the fund is sufficiently liquid and help identify potential liquidity weaknesses, assist risk management monitoring and decision makings, and strengthen the manager’s ability to manage fund liquidity in the best interests of investors.
LST should be adapted appropriately to each fund, including:
- the frequency of LST;
- the types and severity of scenarios;
- the assumptions regarding investor behaviour and asset liquidation;
- the complexity of the LST mode
- in the case of an ETF, the specificities of ETFs, for example, by taking into account the role of authorised participants, redemption models and replication models.
LST should employ hypothetical and historical scenarios and, where appropriate, Reverse Stress Testing (RST). LST should not overly rely on historical data as future stresses may differ from previous ones.
ESMA suggest historical scenarios for LST could include the global financial crisis 2008-2010 or the European debt crisis 2010-2012. Hypothetical scenarios could include rising interest rates, credit spread widening, or political events.
Managers using Reverse Stress Tests (RST) should simulate assets being liquidated in a way that reflects how the manager would liquidate assets during a period of exceptional market stress. RST should take into account the treatment of remaining, as well as redeeming, unitholders as well as the role of transaction costs and whether or not fire sale prices would be accepted.
LST should demonstrate a manager is able to overcome limitations related to the availability of data, including by:
- avoiding optimistic assumptions;
- justifying reliance on third parties’ LST models, including where the model is developed by a third party portfolio manager; and
- exercising expert qualitative judgement.
During product development, a manager of a fund which requires authorisation from an NCA should:
- be able to demonstrate to NCA that key elements of the fund, including its strategy and dealing frequency enable it to remain sufficiently liquid during normal and stressed circumstances; and
- where appropriate, undertake LST on the asset side (using a model portfolio) as well as on the liability side, incorporating the expected investor profile both from the early and late stages of the fund’s existence.
LST should enable a manager to assess not only the time and/or cost to liquidate assets in a portfolio, but also whether such an activity would be permissible taking into account:
- the objectives and investment policy of the fund;
- the obligation to manage the fund in the interests of investors;
- any applicable obligation to liquidate assets at limited cost; and
- the obligation to maintain the risk profile of the fund following liquidation of a portion of its assets.
LST should incorporate scenarios relating to the liabilities of the fund, including both redemptions and other potential sources of risk to liquidity emanating from the liability side of the fund balance sheet.
LST should incorporate risk factors related to investor type and concentration according to the nature, scale and complexity of the fund. ESMA has provided a table of examples of factors regarding investor behaviour which may be incorporated into the LST model, including:
- Investor Category – LST model may simulate funds of funds posing more redemption risk than other types of investors, and simulate their withdrawal from the fund first;
- Investor Concentration – The manager may model one or a number of the largest investors redeeming simultaneously from the fund over a given period of time;
- Investor Location – The manager may simulate a material proportion of investors located in a specific country redeeming over a given time period first; and
- Investor Strategy – The manager may simulate redemptions from investors following similar strategies in stressed and normal market conditions.
A manager should include other types of liabilities in its LST in normal and stressed conditions, where appropriate. All relevant items on the liability side of the fund’s balance sheet, including items other than redemptions, should be subject to LST.
Liability examples and potential factors which may affect liquidity risk include:
- Derivatives – change in the value of the underlying of the derivative leading to a larger than anticipated margin call.
- Committed capital – unexpected event causing new/higher outlay of capital to a real estate investment.
- Securities Financing Transactions / Efficient Portfolio Management – default of the counterparty to a securities lending operation.
- Interest/credit payments – increased interest rates on the payment obligations of the fund.
Risks arising from less liquid assets and liabilities risks should be reflected in the LST.
Low probability, but high impact scenarios, including the potential difficulty of reliably pricing less liquid assets during a period of market stress, will be important in respect of less liquid assets. RST may be a particularly valuable tool in this context, helping to identify scenarios which could lead to significant fund liquidity risk (e.g. identifying scenarios which would lead to the imposition of special arrangements or suspensions).
Furthermore, fund of funds which gain indirect exposure to less liquid assets via their target funds should pay due regard to considerations relating to less liquid assets. This is due to the underlying exposure of those target funds which can result in the suspension of the target investment vehicle or other measures.
After separately stress testing the assets and the liabilities of the fund balance sheet, the manager should combine the results of the LST appropriately to determine the overall effect on fund liquidity.
The guidelines state that managers should incorporate risk scoring into the LST where it enables an enhanced view of liquidity across the funds they manage, including in contingency planning and the operational preparation for a liquidity crisis.
A manager should aggregate LST across funds under its management where it assesses such an activity to be appropriate for those funds.
Guidelines Applicable to Depositaries
A depositary should set up appropriate verification procedures to check that the manager of a fund has in place documented procedures for its LST programme.
The verification does not require the depositary to assess the adequacy of the LST.
Where the depositary is not satisfied that LST is in place, it should take action as per any other evidence of a potential breach of rules by a manager. Depending on the national regime, this may require a depositary to inform (or require a manager to inform) the applicable NCA of the manager’s failure to comply with applicable rules.
The depositary does not need to replicate or challenge the LST undertaken by a manager.
Interaction with National Competent Authorities
NCAs may at their discretion request submission of a manager’s LST to help demonstrate that a fund will be likely to comply with applicable rules, including regarding the ability of the fund to meet redemption requests in normal and stressed conditions.
Furthermore, managers should notify NCAs of material risks and actions taken to address them.
How Funds-Axis can help
Management Companies will need to assess the requirements in the ESMA liquidity guidelines against their current liquidity risk management practices, policies and reporting before the 30 September 2020 deadline.
The Funds-Axis liquidity risk management framework is designed to meet international requirements in respect of liquidity risk management and liquidity stress testing. It is a holistic solution which embeds liquidity risk management into the product governance, throughout the product lifecycle.
- Interactive real-time reporting
- Coverage of all asset classes
- Monitoring of portfolio assets, investor dealing & other liabilities
- Limit monitoring against key liquidity risk indicators
- Stress and scenario testing
- Stock level trend analysis
- User-defined metrics and classifications
- Automation of internal & regulatory reporting